KAYA

K A Y A

Guest view — ratings only. Search any stock for the shop's verdict, valuation and historical win rate.

KAYA

buy the signal, ride the trend,
exit the reversal, dodge the crash

Today's confirmed buys

Loading\u2026

The desk

Loading the desk...

tap a stock for the full chart and signals
StockActionScoreSignal

To BUY in your broker (the shop just added these - mirror them, then tick)

To SELL in your broker (the shop exited these - sell, then tick)

Exit likely soon (flagged - a sell is coming; heads-up, no action yet)

Add to your winners (proven compounders on a pullback, thesis intact - the greats add here)

Trim to target (re-graded down - reduce in your broker to the target size)

Purchase order

Seven gates. All must pass, exactly like no piece reaches the display case without cost, ticket and appraisal.

Watchlist

Import a holding you already own

Skips the gates (it is already bought). Complete its card after.

Aged inventory, the markdown queue

The time stop protects against dead capital, not volatility. It never triggers on a price drop, only on nothing happening.

Sold, realized

StockHeldCostExit ReturnReason
Discipline audit - your real trades graded against what the engine said

New shop ideas

Ranked by Kaya's own engine, all math computed in the shop. An idea still has to pass the gates AND show a BUY signal.

#StockActionPriceScore Factors

The walk-in counter estate buys - value first, demand later

The 1ct-VS1-for-a-fifth-of-appraisal trade: names the market is offering 30%+ below the engine's own fair value. The rule of the counter: the discount alone is NEVER enough - the appraisal must be verifiable (real margins, safe balance sheet) or the cheap piece is glass. A red trend badge means the seller is still marking it down - cheap AND getting cheaper. Sized half, time-stopped like any aged inventory: in stocks there is no dealer bid waiting at appraisal - realizing value takes quarters, not minutes.

#StockDiscountPrice vs appraisal Appraisal checkTrend

THE LADDER · 1000× in 10 years double every year = 210 = 1024×

Loading the ladder...

100× DNA the speculative corner — a tiny side-bet, never the core

Loading…

Long Run finder

The multibagger doctrine: names that historically ran 5-10x on monthly Heikin-Ashi candles without a confirmed break, graded on today's setup - technicals, fundamentals, the ticker's own run history and the market regime must ALL be green at once. No setup, no bet. The crash guard is the standing catastrophe exit: a COVID/GFC-type event trips the MARKET alarm and clears the shelf before the damage compounds.

#StockSetupGates Run historyActive run1-2y oddsPriceThe plan

Money rotation

Where the money is moving NOW: sectors ranked by fresh monthly flips (runs being born) versus names still out of a run (money gone). The shop doctrine: when a 10x name goes sideways, the money does not leave the market - it moves to the next shelf. This table is the shift, updated every scan.

Sectorin a runfresh flips ridingoutrun age (med)fresh names

The 200-year entry study

Every fresh monthly Heikin-Ashi flip across the whole universe plus the deep index record - stocks back to 1962, real S&P candles to 1928, and Shiller's S&P Composite to 1871 - finished runs only, graded by what the entry looked like versus how far the run travelled before its confirmed full-body red. Every panic since 1871 (1907, 1929, 1987, 2000, 2008, 2020) is inside the run-break statistics. The signature with the highest 5x rate is the one the gates demand.

no study yet - press Run study

Great compounders - ranked by the earned-multibagger signature: margin EXPANSION + operating leverage + revenue growth + earned-not-hype (from the 33-winner study). QUALITY signal - descriptive of what winners shared, NOT a backtested return predictor (survivorship makes it untestable on free data). The few, not the many.

Rank by:
#nameEARLYqualityrev CAGRop-marginmargin expearned

Best value finder

Show:

The operator's own lens: best intrinsic value + high revenue + good cash flow. Every name here clears three fundamental gates at once - (1) INTRINSIC VALUE: trading at or under the shop's own filings-grounded DCF fair value (a margin of safety), (2) HIGH REVENUE: durable multi-year revenue growth (a shrinking top line is refused), (3) GOOD CASH FLOW: positive free cash flow, ranked by FCF margin. The DCF-trust gate keeps zero-revenue / pathological appraisals off the board. Descriptive candidate finder, not an order - a name matters only when it books to SHOP FLOOR.

#ScoreStockTier Value Our value Fair value Rev CAGR Revenue FCF mgn Moat Fwd Smart$ Price

Does buying deep value at a great price actually become big returns? This is the measured answer across the entire monthly price history of every asset the shop tracks. A deep-value entry = a confirmed monthly bottom (a red→green Heikin-Ashi flip) after a drawdown from the prior high; the deeper the drawdown, the greater the discount. We then measure the forward return at 1 / 3 / 5 years and the best multiple reached within 5 years, bucketed by how deep the discount was - so the table answers: did buying deeper value pay bigger?

HONEST LIMITS: a price-based deep-value proxy (drawdown from the prior high), not a historical DCF - free data cannot rebuild a per-date intrinsic value. The universe is today's survivors, so every rate is an upper bound (the dead -100% names are gone); the deep indices carry the real panics. Each horizon is scored only where the forward tape exists, so recent entries never inflate a long-horizon win.

Discount at entry events 1y win 1y median3y median5y median →2x →3x →5x →10x med best×

Aim for 3–5×: deep value + real revenue growth - the same drawdown buckets, filtered to names growing revenue ≥15%/yr (research/90). Growth roughly doubles the 3×/5× hit rate.

Discount + growth ≥15% events1y win1y median3y median5y median →2x →3x →5x →10x med best×

Hall of fame - the biggest forward multiples that STARTED from a deep-value price (drawdown ≥40% at a confirmed bottom)

#StockBottom Discount Best× (5y) 5y return

We put every established valuation family on the same point-in-time data (SEC EDGAR filings, filing-dated so there is no lookahead) and backtested which best ranks forward returns - across 435 US names and 4,572 snapshots, 2009-2023, 3-year forward (research/89). We ship the measured-best: a COMPOSITE of the three validated intrinsic-value engines (FCFF-DCF + Residual-Income + Graham), cross-checked by price-to-sales (the strongest single ranker). It powers the Our value column and the finder's ranking.

Valuation method Spearman 3y decile spread

HONEST LIMITS:

Multibagger finder

The PLTR-at-$10 setup: a stock that crashed ≥40% from its top, whose monthly Heikin-Ashi just flipped green, backed by real growth (≥15% revenue CAGR). Backtested on 11,007 flips over ~50 years, this deep-reversal-with-growth is the ~77% winner (vs ~64% for a bare flip, ~48% for a loss-making bounce). Ranked by multibagger conviction = crash depth × growth × profit/FCF × valuation. Buy as a basket, ride the green, exit on a confirmed red month.

#ScoreStockPatternTier~Win CrashGreenRSICAGRFwdAIProfitFCFValuePrice

Doubler finder

Small & micro-caps ($100M-$2B) in the doubler setup: deep crash off the highs + volume ignition + proven multibagger DNA + small base + a fresh turn, NOT extended, and it must survive (cash runway & sane debt). Big companies cannot double - this is where 2×/10× actually lives.

HONEST ODDS - there is no 90% doubling: across 64 years, the best deep-reversal + growth setups end GREEN ~77-81% of the time, and the ride keeps ~90-100% of runners green once they move - but only ~12-16% ever double (over years), and ~0% double in a month. The GREATEST tier below is a short list of survivors (not distressed), turning and growing. Size tiny - a few carry the basket, most will not.

Show:
#ScoreStock Crash Vol Ran McapGrowth Survival WORTH Turn

Trend sleeve

The second leg of the book (research/68). A name is IN TREND when its price sits above its own 10-month average, OUT when it closes below. Long-only, equal-weight, reviewed monthly. This leg is only ~0.4 correlated to the dip-swing book, so running the two together is real diversification: the blend lifted return (CAGR 9% to ~16%) while cutting the worst drawdown from -71% to -45% - shallower than either leg alone.

HOW IT WINS (the opposite of the dip book): a trend leg has a LOW hit-rate (~39% of trades) - many small losses, a few big rides. It makes money by exiting at the line (cut the loser) and letting winners run, not by being right often. Its job here is drawdown reduction for the whole book, not a high-win pick. Size it as a sleeve and equal-weight the names; never concentrate.

#SignalStock vs 10-mo line In trend Price10-mo lineWhat to do

100× DNA

Small-caps carrying the DNA every 100-bagger shared at its start (Chris Mayer’s study of 365): small base, high sustained growth, high reinvestment (ROE), owner-operators (insider skin), long runway. DESCRIPTIVE, not a prediction - fundamentals are survivorship-tinted and nothing can foresee a 100× (10-25 years + patience + luck). A coffee-can watchlist to research and hold for years, never a promise that any will 100×.

#StockDNATierMcapGrowthROEInsiders

Intraday desk spot & options · today only ·

A same-day read for the most liquid names in USA and India: it turns today's tape - the 15-minute opening-range break, which side of VWAP, the gap, relative volume and 5-min RSI - into ONE lean per name. LONG = buy the spot / BUY CALL; SHORT = short the spot / BUY PUT (a bearish view can also be a SELL CALL credit). Levels are a VWAP / opening-range stop and 1.5R / 2.5R targets.

READ THIS. Intraday is the hardest, most negative-expectancy game there is - spreads, slippage and (on options) theta bleed you every trade, and it is the OPPOSITE of this shop's ride-for-years doctrine. This desk is MECHANICAL and NOT backtested - a low-confidence lean, never a prediction. Size tiny, always use the hard stop, and on most days the right move is to sit out. 0DTE options decay to zero by the close - exit intraday, never hold overnight. India option pricing is not on this feed (trade the underlying, or the US-listed INDA proxy).

USA

StockBiasScoreSpotVWAPGapRVOLRSIEntryStopTargets (1.5R / 2.5R)Option · buy call / buy put

India

StockBiasScoreSpotVWAPGapRVOLRSIEntryStopTargets (1.5R / 2.5R)Option · underlying only

Active desk MAKE MONEY EVERY WEEK many validated formulas, one weekly target ·

The active machine. The rest of the portal is passive - buy great compounders and ride for years. This desk is the opposite: many small, fast formulas run every week to throw off cash. It does not invent a new bet - it composes the desks that already grade themselves in public (Cash Week swing + options income) into one plan aimed at a weekly dollar target.
-
expected this week (mean)
- of $5,000 target
-
active capital (the till)
target/wk

This week - the plan concrete orders, sized to your capital

Mirror these in your broker. Sizes are the desk's suggested per-name amount; Exp $ is the mean expected dollar (Cash Week) or the premium collected (income) - an expectation with variance, never a promise.

FormulaStockActionDetailSizeExp $
loading...

Realized weekly scoreboard the public track - marked at 5%-per-name sizing

Closed trades from the same forward-log every desk grades on, bucketed by the week they exited. Green $ = a winning week, gold HIT = the week cleared the target. Real, graded, and it includes the losing weeks - no cherry-picking.

WeekRealized $TradesWinsHit target
loading...

Supporting sleeves extra upside · NOT in the base $

Week desk WEEKLY TRADING · SEPARATE STRATEGY cash buys & options straddles · rolling 7-day rounds ·

A separate machine from the portal. This is fast, short-hold weekly trading - buy and sell inside the week, graded on its own tape. The cyan means you are in the trading desk, not the long-term investment portal. Different color = different strategy.

The one thing the 10-agent movers-lab tournament proved robust (rank-IC ~0.32 across 2001-2026 train, validation AND a locked 2024+ holdout, USA and India): which names will move BIG over the next week - a blend of EWMA close-vol and Parkinson range-vol. Each name is quoted with its expected 7-day move band and the option structure that monetizes magnitude: an ATM straddle (direction-free), with a small call-tilt where the only surviving directional residue (crashed ≥25%, not yet bounced) is present.

READ THIS. Magnitude is predictable; direction is not (best directional holdout IC .047 vs .32 for magnitude - there is no 90%, no guarantee). A straddle wins ONLY when the realized move beats the premium paid; implied vol is not on this feed, so compare the quoted expected move against the live straddle debit at your broker and SKIP any name where the debit is bigger - most weeks, most names, the market already charges fair. Theta bleeds daily; exit on a band touch, never hold past the round. Every quote is logged to TRACK (kind opt_movers): band touch inside 7 days = win, expiry untouched = loss - the desk grades itself in public. The FORECAST column is measured, never promised: forward frequencies of this desk's own population (top-12 expected-move names/week, 2003-2023, n 3k-8.8k per bucket). Read it honestly: P(ends up) is ~48-51% everywhere - the desk forecasts MOTION, not direction; even the crash-tilt badge adds no directional lift inside this high-vol population (context only).

Cash week - buy & sell inside the week cash equity, not options ·

The one directional formula that survived the tournament's locked 2024+ holdout: deep-crash washout - names ≥20% below their 252-day high that have NOT yet bounced (still under the 10-day line, recent week still red), with a prior-winner bonus. BUY any day it fires; SELL at the close of the 5th trading day - rolling rounds, entries and exits land on any weekday. The exit rule is measured, not styled: profit-targets and stops both backtested WORSE (US holdout +1.09%/trade time-exit vs +0.84 band-target vs +0.77 with stop).

HONEST ODDS: ~51-54% win rate, +0.5-1.1% average per trade before costs, on a survivors-only universe - a small measured edge that needs the basket and the discipline, never a single-name bet. India tested weaker than USA (+0.5%/trade holdout). Every BUY is tracked in TRACK (kind cash_week); the tape grades the desk in public.

Show: high conviction = deepest crash (≥30%) + prior winner, top 1-5 per market by setup strength - the few strongest. Weekly (5-day) odds ~56%; the ~74% is these same names held ~2 years, not 5 days.
StockMktEntry (spot)ScoreCrashBelow 10d5dPrior winnerSell rule
loading...

Open rounds - the sell timer

StockMktBoughtBuy priceNow (live)P&LTargetSell dayAction
loading...

USA weekly ATM straddles

StockSpotExp moveLower bandUpper bandLeanCrash5dForecast (next 7d)Option play
loading...

India monthly series · lot-sized · or trade the underlying

StockSpotExp moveLower bandUpper bandLeanCrash5dForecast (next 7d)Option play
loading...

Where is the sun? it is always day somewhere

Measured over 308 straight months: there was never a month without doublers (worst ever, Dec 2008: still 0.3%, with the top-1% stock +73%). This board names the CURRENT daylight - for each market × sector: the share of members that DOUBLED in the trailing 12 months, the share still green this month, and the median best 12-month gain. Read it with the cream rule: high doubled% + fading green% = a spent sun (the leftover zone - never chase); high green% + low doubled% = a rising sun (early - the pond to watch); both high = high noon (harvest, via the funnel only).

#marketsectornamesdoubled 12mogreen nowmedian bestheatread
loading...

Paper LEAPS PAPER ONLY - no capital

A validation sleeve: the machine "buys" (on paper) an in-the-money LEAPS call on the shop's top-2 conviction cream names, marks it every cycle, and closes on the underlying's confirmed structural break or the ~60-day roll point. Max loss = the premium (defined risk, the 1:10 geometry). If a quarter of paper P&L proves the convexity math, it earns a small real sleeve - not before.

tickerstatusopenedstrikeentry premnowP&Lexit reason
loading...

Simple options · bet a direction max loss = the premium

The tool reads the trend (price vs the index's own 10-month line) and recommends ONE side - a CALL if the trend is up, a PUT if it is down - at a weekly and a monthly expiry. No betting both ways. Index timing is the hardest call there is, so treat the read as a low-confidence lean and size tiny. The most you can lose is the premium (a contract can expire worthless). NOT backtested; indicative pricing, confirm live. India = INDA (US-listed MSCI India proxy; native NIFTY/BANKNIFTY need an Indian broker feed).

How to read this table - it is in US DOLLARS, not index points
  • SPOT is an ETF share price in US dollars - NOT the index level. SPY is the S&P 500 ETF (about $773 a share), QQQ is the Nasdaq-100 ETF (about $718 a share), INDA is the MSCI India ETF (about $50 a share). The indexes themselves are thousands of points (S&P 500 ≈ 6,600 · Nasdaq ≈ 24,000 · NIFTY ≈ 24,500) - we quote the ETF only because it has a liquid US options chain. So "$49 put on India" means a put on the INDA ETF at the $49 strike, NOT a 49-point NIFTY.
  • The read: LEAN UP -> CALL = price is above its 10-month line (bet up); LEAN DOWN -> PUT = below it (bet down). One side only, low confidence.
  • Each option box - e.g. "BUY $773 call · pay $486 (max loss, 7d) · wins above $777.86 (+1%) · a +5% move -> +$3,397 (+699%)" - reads as:
    • BUY $773 call = the strike, a dollar price near the spot.
    • pay $486 (max loss, 7d) = one contract costs $486; that is the MOST you can lose; it expires in 7 days.
    • wins above $777.86 (+1%) = your breakeven; the ETF must pass this by expiry to profit (below it you lose part or all of the premium).
    • a +5% move -> +$3,397 (+699%) = a HYPOTHETICAL example of the leverage IF the ETF makes that move. It is NOT a prediction.
  • Weekly vs Monthly = the expiry (about 7 days vs about 28 days). The monthly costs more because it buys more time.
  • India uses the INDA ETF as the proxy. Real NIFTY / BANKNIFTY strikes (like 24,500 PE) need an Indian broker feed (Zerodha, Angel One, Dhan) - they are not on this data feed.
  • Win odds (POP) = our model estimate - from the option's own implied volatility - of the chance it finishes past breakeven by expiry. A BOUGHT call/put is typically only 35-50% (honest, not 80%). High odds come only from SELLING options, and even then high odds = a tiny premium (no free lunch - win-rate is not profit).
  • Risk: an option can expire worthless - you can lose 100% of the premium. Size tiny.
IndexSpotThe read (trend)WeeklyMonthly

Check any ticker any market · call or put across horizons

Type any symbol - USA (AAPL, NVDA, SPY), India (add .NS: RELIANCE.NS, TCS.NS), or an ETF. The tool reads its trend and shows the recommended side (CALL if up, PUT if down) across 1 day / 1 week / 1 month / 45 / 90 days. The read works for every market; live option pricing is US-listed only (India/native NIFTY need a broker feed - trade the underlying or use INDA). Low-confidence lean, not a prediction; short expiries bleed to theta; max loss = the premium.

Options · LEAPS leverage

Long-dated (1yr+) in-the-money call options on your highest-conviction MULTIBAGGER picks - leverage the best ideas with hard-capped downside (you can only lose the premium). HONEST: options are NOT backtested (no historical data - a structural tool, not a validated edge), can expire worthless (100% loss), and pricing is indicative (last trade - confirm live). A small deliberate sleeve only, never the core.

#StockSpotLEAP (strike · days)Cost/contractBreakevenLeverageIf stock 2×

Income · covered calls on your holdings

Sell an out-of-money call on a name you own -> collect premium as income; caps upside at the strike. Indicative pricing, not backtested.

StockSpotSell callPremiumIncomeYieldAnnualizedUpside cap

Income · cash-secured puts at your dip targets

Sell a put near a safe-swing dip target -> get paid to wait; if assigned you buy the dip at (strike − premium). You must hold the cash. Indicative pricing, not backtested.

StockSpotSell putPremiumIncomeEffective entryYieldCash needed

Hedge · index put-spreads AI-systemic tail protection

Cheap, defined-cost crash insurance for the AI-financing-complex concentration (research/25): buy a ~7% OTM put, sell a ~18% OTM put. Small fixed cost, pays off if the index falls into the −7%..−18% band. A hedge, not an edge; indicative pricing. India is hedged via INDA (US-listed MSCI India ETF) - the only India proxy with a liquid US options chain; native NIFTY/BANKNIFTY and the pure Nifty-50 ETF (INDY) have no usable options on this data feed.

IndexSpotSpread (buy/sell · days)CostMax payoffPayoff ratioProtects

Cycle - position protection

Weinstein stage analysis on every holding - where each sits in its market cycle. TOPPING = Stage 3/4 roll-over (backtested: caught 25/26 major peaks, gave back −21% vs −74% riding) - watch the exit. PARABOLIC = blowoff early-warning (fired 11-26 weeks before 6/8 blowoffs, zero false fires across 2,294 calm weeks) - book into strength & tighten. launch = Stage 1->2 turn. Exits still need a confirmed red month; this is timing context, never a forced order.

#StockStage Topping Euphoria ReadySignal

Real opportunities growing · moving · moat · at a discount —

Undervalued only counts when the business is growing and the stock is moving — never a cheap dead value trap. These clear all four: a plausible discount (15–100%), revenue growth ≥15%, an uptrend (Heikin-Ashi green), and a durable moat. The shop's best live ideas — most sit in WATCH because the strict buy gate wants full confluence; this surfaces them so they don't rot.

StockMktDiscountRev growthMoatTrendStanding
loading...

Today's picks

The daily driver - the two highest-conviction, backtested setups across the whole universe. SAFE SWING = quality large-caps (won't go to zero) on a dip, uptrend intact - ~70-80% recover in ~6mo. MULTIBAGGER = not-extended strength + proven-DNA (tier 3+) - ~2× doubling lift. Both HONEST: not certainty; size small, most fail, winners run.

Master swing - durable dips (durable + calm + up-close, market not frothy; +10% stopless; ~82% out-of-sample honest, not 100%)

#StockBuy (dip)Target +10%Amount

Multibagger tier 3+ (buy strength, size by tier, hard cap 15%)

#StockTierBuyStopAmountSell

Swing trades ~82% out-of-sample · NOT 100%

THE MASTER FORMULA (research/54,60): a DURABLE (never crashed >35%) + CALM (annualized vol <30%) name on a −8 to −25% dip, long uptrend intact, that CLOSED THE MONTH UP with 6-month buying accumulation, bought only when the market is NOT frothy (index <+15% over its 40-month line). Target +10%, STOPLESS (bank half, let half run); spread 1/N across 12-15 names, half-size if VIX>25. Backtest 473 instruments 2001-2026: honest ~82% deployable (purged walk-forward out-of-sample; 90% CI 74-89%; ~96% in-sample hold-to-target), NOT 100% - recent decade ~82-88%, ~1-2% never recover. Retires the old 47%-win swing.

Valuation MOS overlay (research/52,54): a Damodaran DCF margin-of-safety check now sizes each pick and excludes names priced past their DCF value. strong = at/below the pessimistic case (size up); ok = at/below base fair value; stretched = above base, no margin of safety (size down); veto = above even the +25% optimistic case (dropped). Replaces the old crude P/E>60 bypass. DESCRIPTIVE valuation context - the DCF is a reference price, not a win-validated predictor.

STRICT-CONFLUENCE ENTRIES ~82% out-of-sample (strictest gate: master formula + ≥6 of 7 engines agree)

The highest-odds entry the evidence allows - the master-formula swing firing AND ≥6/7 validated engines agreeing. This is the strictest gate, NOT a 90% promise: the master formula's honest out-of-sample win is ~82% (bigger-sample walk-forward, research/60), NOT a guarantee - certainty never exists. When nothing clears the bar it stays empty on purpose: wait, hold cash.

#StockConfirmBuy (dip)TargetAmount
FORMING - quality swings blocked ONLY by market froth (ready the moment it cools):

All master-formula swings (broader, ~82% out-of-sample honest)

#StockBuy (dip)Target +10%Amount

Track record

The live proof - every high-conviction call logged at its entry price and graded to market. This is the ONE thing no backtest gives: are the edges real in the wild? Grows automatically as new picks fire. Swings grade to target/stop; multibaggers ride till a confirmed red month.

DateStockTypeEntryNowReturnStatus

The shop floor

The engine trading its own recommendations, live - and sized by the opportunity: 2% for an ordinary qualified flip, 5% for a great setup (PRIME or a long-fall reversal), 10% only for the exceptional (SUREFIRE, or PRIME ending a 12+ month fall). One pot of capital backs both markets - a great opportunity draws from the whole shop wherever it appears; Indian pieces stay priced in rupees, capacity converts at the live rate, never more than 80% deployed overall. The doctrine's exits close every position. Green boxes are inventory on the shelf; a blinking red box is the engine calling the exit. Open this page instead of the email - it IS the email, alive. This book is the machine's public track record trading itself; your real account replicates it.

The whole shop · one pot, in $

deposits and withdrawals are logged; performance is always measured against contributed money, never inflated by it

USA shelf · $

loading the floor...

India shelf · ₹

loading the floor...

Sold off the floor

stockboughtsold paidgotresultwhy

Signal ledger

Every alert the engine ever emailed, written down the moment it flashed - date, call, and the price on the tape that day - then marked against today's price forever. This is the shop's book: the recommendations cannot be edited, forgotten, or quietly deleted. The ledger starts recording from the day it was installed; it fills with every alert run (twice daily, after NSE and US closes).

datecallstock at signalnowsincevs indexbest sinceworst since what the engine said

reading the backdrop...

Conditions barometer

Live 3-month trend of the factors that drive every regime - the dollar, hard assets, commodities, bonds, yields. Green = rising, red = falling.

Aligned with this regime (what expresses it - and which are in your screen)

The canonical vehicles for the current backdrop, live 3-month trend. Names tagged in your screen are in your universe (click to open). DESCRIPTIVE context - buys still come only through the gates.

The playbook - what grows in each condition

DESCRIPTIVE positioning context, NOT buy signals - the current regime is highlighted NOW. Actual buys still come only through the gates (SHOP FLOOR / TO DO). The debasement trade is crowded and rate-sensitive - it whipsaws (gold ran +65% in 2025, then fell hard in 2026).

Glossary - tap any term

New here? Every badge and short form used across the shop, in plain words. You can also tap any coloured badge anywhere in the app and a little box pops up with its meaning.

How this shop works

One line: hunt the few great compounders early, buy ONLY what the shop books, ride till the trend flips, cut losers by rule, never churn. The shop is a signal book - it never touches your real money. You buy/sell in your own broker, mirroring the TO DO list. Every tool below is tagged VALIDATED (a real buy/exit engine), DESCRIPTIVE (research only - never buy straight from it), or SPECULATIVE / CONTEXT.

The only buy rule

You buy in your broker only when a name books to SHOP FLOOR and shows in TO DO (you also get an email). Watchlists and screens (100X DNA, COMPOUNDERS, the market table) are not orders - a name there becomes a buy only if it later clears a price gate and books. If it is not in TO DO, you do nothing. Today the list is empty (market froth) -> the right action is hold cash.

Where buys come from (validated)

SWING · strict confluence (~82% OOS)

VALIDATED · primary buy source
The strictest, highest-odds entry: the master-formula swing fires AND ≥6 of 7 validated engines agree.
BUY - a name appears here with a green N/7 badge and books to SHOP FLOOR (you get an email). Buy near the shown dip price, size ~7-8% of book (1/N). Empty now = wait.
EXIT - +10% target: bank half, let half run. Backstops: −20% hard stop from entry, or a confirmed full-body red month.
WHY - ~82% is the honest out-of-sample win (473-name walk-forward, research/60), NOT 90% and NOT a guarantee. It stacks trend + dip + accumulation + valuation + 6/7 confluence, so it fires rarely and only on the best.

SWING · master-formula + FORMING

VALIDATED · buy source
The broader ~82%-out-of-sample swing list (durable + calm + uptrend + dip + closed-up + accumulation + not-frothy + not-overvalued). FORMING = passes everything except market froth.
BUY - same as above when it books to SHOP FLOOR. FORMING names are NOT buys - they are quality setups waiting for the market to cool (e.g. RS). Watch, don't buy.
EXIT - +10% target stopless; −20% hard stop; confirmed red month.
WHY - buys durable names on a shallow dip that is already turning up on real buying - not falling knives.

MULTIBAGGER

VALIDATED · momentum buy basket
Breakout/strength finder: names near a high, on volume, with proven multibagger DNA (a real ≥4× historical run).
BUY - tier 3+ names that clear the strict-confluence gate book to SHOP FLOOR. An OVER x% vs DCF flag = momentum pick, the DCF thinks it is pricey (heads-up, not a veto).
EXIT - rides with the trend; sells on confirmed red month / −20% stop / post-run roll-over.
WHY - buy strength, not crashes; but only names that have actually multiplied before (weeds out mature grinders like a utility).

USA / INDIA (market)

VALIDATED label screen
The whole screened market with a per-stock label.
BUY - the label reads BUY (all gates green). Rare - ~99% read WAIT. Do not chase a WAIT.
EXIT - label SELL on names you own (confirmed red / crash).
WHY - your hunting field; the label is the quick read, the real order still comes via SHOP FLOOR / TO DO.

SHOP FLOOR & TO DO

VALIDATED · your orders
SHOP FLOOR = the shop's actual booked positions (grade, P&L, gate status). TO DO = the checklist of what to mirror.
BUY / ADD - a new position (or an ADD on a winner's pullback) appears in TO DO. Mirror it in your broker, tick it off.
SELL / TRIM - an exit or over-target trim appears in TO DO. Do it, tick it off.
WHY - this is the ONE source of real actions. If it is not here, you do nothing.

TREND sleeve

VALIDATED · diversifier leg
The second leg of the book (research/68): names trading above their own 10-month average. Long-only, equal-weight, reviewed monthly. Only ~0.4 correlated to the swing book.
BUY - a NEW cross up row (price just reclaimed its 10-mo line). Add it equal-weight as part of the sleeve; do not concentrate. Size the sleeve alongside the dip book, not on top of it.
EXIT - the day it closes below its 10-mo line (a broke down row). Unlike the stopless dip, this leg DOES cut at the line - that stop IS the edge here.
WHY - it wins by a LOW hit-rate (~39%): many small losses cut at the line, a few big rides. Its real job is drawdown reduction for the whole book - blending it with the dip book lifted CAGR (9% to ~16%) and cut the worst drawdown (−71% to −45%), shallower than either leg alone. NOT a high-win pick.

ACCUM tilt (on swings)

INFORMATIONAL · not a gate
A green ACCUM ~88% badge on a swing means the name also shows volume ignition + net accumulation on its shallow dip (research/72-73) - a smart-money footprint found by an exhaustive, honesty-gated search of ~147k signals.
BUY - it does NOT change the buy rule. The swing still has to clear its own gate to book. The badge is a heads-up that this one carries a measured tilt in its favour.
WHY - it is the ONE entry tweak that survived a clean pre-2018 -> 2020+ holdout: ~+5-6pp over the durable stack (median ~88%, NOT the 97% luckiest gate). Honest limits: one macro regime, small sample, and it does NOT shrink the tail (~−96%) - still size 1/N and stay stopless. Live proof is still accruing on TRACK.
How you exit (the safety net)
  • +10% target on a swing -> bank half, let half run (stopless on the runner).
  • −20% hard stop from entry (daily close) -> auto-sell. The disaster backstop; caps every single loss.
  • Confirmed full-body red month (monthly candle must close red) -> the trend flipped, exit. Intramonth wiggles do NOT count.
  • Crash guard (index regime = CRASH) -> sell all, protect capital.
  • Abort line on a fresh reversal -> a monthly close below the turn's low cancels the thesis.
Research & hunting grounds - NOT buys

100X DNA

DESCRIPTIVE · watchlist
Small-caps matching Chris Mayer's 100-bagger traits (small, growing 20%+, high ROE, owner-operated, earns). prime DNA = 5-6 traits + proven multi-year growth; strong DNA = 5-6 traits but growth not yet proven durable; watch (declining) = shrinking, avoid.
NOT A BUY - research only. prime DNA = top of the homework pile, not an order. It becomes a buy only after your homework + a price gate books it. Survivorship-tinted; most names with these traits still fail.
WHY - finds candidates with the right profile to research and hold for years; nothing can foresee an actual 100×.

COMPOUNDERS

DESCRIPTIVE · hunting
EARLY 0-100 = how early/inflecting with runway (catch here). QUALITY 0-100 = business quality (margins, leverage, ROE, earned growth).
NOT A BUY - the hunting ground for the next inflection when you have fresh cash. Research, then wait for the price gate.
WHY - catch compounders early (with runway), not after they have run. Scores are descriptive, not backtested predictors.

DOUBLERS · IDEAS · LONG RUN · SIGNALS

DESCRIPTIVE · screens
Supporting screens: DOUBLERS = ~2× setups; IDEAS = deep-value; LONG RUN = durable multi-year trends; SIGNALS = the raw signal log.
NOT A BUY - context and idea generation. A name matters only when it books to SHOP FLOOR.
WHY - different lenses to surface candidates; they feed research, not orders.

CYCLE

CONTEXT
Weinstein stage analysis on holdings (Stage 1 base -> 2 advance -> 3 top -> 4 decline).
TIMING CONTEXT - never a forced order. A topping/euphoria read means tighten + bank into strength, not a hard sell.
WHY - shows where each position sits in its market cycle so you ride and trim with awareness.
Your desk & controls
HOMEthe overview: book value, cash, regime, the strict-confluence pipeline + forming, and what to do today.
TRACKthe live forward record - real win-rate as trades close. The ONLY honest proof (needs weeks).
RISKkeep any sector <35% and no single name too heavy; concentration warnings.
SHELF / BUY / AGED / SOLDposition lifecycle: anchor tier, gated purchase orders, ageing holds, closed trades.
Options

OPTIONS

SPECULATIVE · small sleeve only
Simple: BUY a CALL to bet up, BUY a PUT to bet down - max loss = the premium, upside open (a ~10% move ≈ 4-5× the premium). Also LEAPS (leverage), covered calls / cash-secured puts (income), and an index put-spread hedge. India = INDA proxy (native NIFTY/BANKNIFTY need a broker feed).
BUY - only as a small, deliberate sleeve on a high-conviction directional view. Never the core.
EXIT - you can lose 100% of the premium (worthless at expiry). Size so that is survivable.
WHY - NOT backtested; indicative pricing (confirm live). A structural tool, not a validated edge.

Honest limits

Not a crystal ball. VALIDATED engines have a real, tested edge but the honest out-of-sample win is ~82% on the swing (473-name walk-forward, 74-89% CI; ~96% in-sample) and ~73-77% on the ride - never 100%, and ~1 in 10 years is still down. DESCRIPTIVE tools (100X DNA, COMPOUNDERS, scores) are survivorship-tinted and not proven predictors. The real edge is discipline + expectancy + survival over time: buy only what qualifies, cut losers by rule, don't churn, don't overpay, obey the crash guard. Anything promising certainty is lying.

loading course...

Shop capital: